Predicting the path of an NFL team involves more than just its record. Yards and per-play averages and advanced stats don't put a team in the playoffs, but it can give clues to whether a team's record is legitimate or a bit of good (or bad) luck. That's why there's some reason to be skeptical about the Miami Dolphins' 3-0 start. The Dolphins have been outgained in every game, which is an obvious warning sign. They are 26th in total offense and 11th in total defense, which doesn't look like the profile of a dominant 3-0 team. But they are a respectable eighth in Football Outsiders' enlightening DVOA rankings . And, well, they have found a way to win all three games. Still, the Dolphins haven't played quite as well as their record indicates. There's a reason the Saints, also 3-0, are a healthy 6.5-point favorite in Monday night's game. New Orleans has looked like a top team, with the offense clicking and the defense playing well (for now). The Dolphins are probably going to regress a bit, and Monday night against Drew Brees at the Superdome might be a pretty good time for that. The Saints should win comfortably. Here are the rest of this week's picks:
Sept 25 (The Sports Xchange) - Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Greg Schiano is sending starting quarterback Josh Freeman to the bench in favor of rookie Mike Glennon, who will make his first NFL start Sunday against the Arizona Cardinals. Schiano said last week at New England that he didn't consider pulling Freeman, dismissing the fact that Glennon warmed up on the sideline in the third quarter of the 23-3 loss that dropped the Buccaneers' record to 0-3. - - The Cleveland Browns will stick with Brian Hoyer as their starting quarterback for Sunday's game against the rival Cincinnati Bengals. ...
EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) -- After a 38-0 loss to the Carolina Panthers, the New York Giants are promising only one change for this weekend's game in Kansas City against the Chiefs.
COMMENTARY | It's hard to imagine the New York Giants playing a worse game than the one they turned in on Sunday against the Carolina Panthers.
Some thoughts and some numbers regarding Week 3 of the 2013 season and entering Monday night's game…
(Adds later games) (The Sports Xchange) - New York Jets 27, Buffalo Bills 20 Geno Smith's second long touchdown pass of the day, a 69-yarder to Santonio Holmes with 9:23 left, snapped a tie and lifted the New York Jets to a win over the Buffalo Bills at MetLife Stadium. The Jets survived a franchise-record 20 penalties to remain a game behind the unbeaten Patriots and Dolphins in the AFC East. The Bills might have suffered an even bigger loss when running back C.J. Spiller exited in the third quarter with a knee injury and did not return. ...
CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- Cam Newton threw touchdown passes to Brandon LaFell on consecutive possessions and the Carolina Panthers didn't need to withstand any late-game threats this time, trouncing the New York Giants 38-0 on Sunday afternoon at Bank of America Stadium.
New York Giants cornerback Corey Webster was downgraded from doubtful to out for Sunday's game against the Carolina Panthers.
The Dallas Cowboys finished 2012 averaging the fewest rushing yards per game in team history as DeMarco Murray nursed an injury for most of the season.
EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) -- The Carolina Panthers aren't the only team having issues in the secondary for this weekend's game with the New York Giants.

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